Rise Again America 2017 Happening Our Streets
CIA Director Burns later on went to Moscow to try and intimidate Putin into revoking troop buildup on Ukrainian border
[Russell Bentley, a Texan and writer of this article, served in the Donbass army. His motivation was to fight fascism; he envisioned himself equally an heir to members of the Abraham Lincoln Brigade who volunteered to fight fascism in Espana during the Spanish Civil State of war.
In part one, Bentley's provides an assessment of the current tensions in the Ukraine and the character of the regime. Ranked as 1 of the nearly corrupt governments in the globe, it is a monstrous creation of the U.S. empire guilty of large-scale war crimes.
In part two, Bentley discusses three potential armed forces options for Russia. CAM's position on this conflict is to endorse the Minsk protocol, which focuses on a diplomatic settlement that offers the Eastern Ukrainian provinces considerable autonomy and could help defuse tensions in the region.
The third armed services option discussed past Bentley—the Kyiv plan which would entail a Russian march on Kyiv—has three main dangers: a) Ukrainian rightists and nationalists would mobilize against the Russians and pro-Russian forces, prompting a prolonged and devastating war that could exist a quagmire for Russia (rather than a cakewalk, as Bentley suggests); b) a Russian invasion would potentially ignite World War III past drawing in the U.S. and NATO; and c) it could fifty-fifty lead to the appearance of nuclear war.
Russian President Vladimir Putin appears to be conscious of these dangers and intent on restraining hawkish elements inside the Russian military—a good thing. At the same time, he has made it articulate that Russian federation will defend its interests and not exist pushed around.—Editors]
Office ane
On October xviiithursday, U.S. Secretary of Defence Lloyd Austin Three met with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to assert U.Due south. support for Ukraine'due south war against its eastern provinces.
Since the beginning of the disharmonize in 2014, the United States has provided more than than $2.5 billion in security assistance to Ukraine, including $275 million in military machine aid that has been announced in the terminal ten months nether President Joe Biden, a staunch champion of the war from its inception.
In early November, President Biden dispatched CIA Director William F. Burns to Moscow to warn the Kremlin most its troop buildup on the Ukraine edge and to endeavor and force it to back off. Secretary of State Antony Blinken followed up this past calendar week past threatening Russia farther in a joint press conference in Washington with the Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba.
Ukraine, however, started the war following the February 2014 U.S. backed insurrection and carried out sustained war crimes.
These crimes include: a) the contempo kidnapping and torture of a Russian ceasefire monitor in Lugansk; b) a recent attack on Staromaryevka, a settlement of 180 civilians in the de-militarized "Grey Zone," which included the kidnapping of viii more unarmed civilians (who were also Russian citizens) by neo-Nazi terrorists; and c) the use of a Turkish Bayraktar attack drone against Donbass defense forces.
All this is in addition to the repeated shelling of noncombatant areas and infrastructure along with a hardening of war rhetoric by the Kyiv regime—with U.South. bankroll.
Readying for War
The main hope for a diplomatic solution to the conflict in Ukraine lies with the Minsk peace accords—which includes a provision that would allow for considerable autonomy for the eastern provinces. Predictably, the U.S. and Ukraine have shown trivial interest in adhering to the Minsk accords.
A no-wing zone is currently being enforced by Russian federation in the airspace over the Donbass Commonwealth. Russian federation cannot recognize the Donetsk Republic because information technology would invite farther U.S. sanctions and efforts at political isolation; the Donetsk Commonwealth is considered to be a renegade and the U.S. wants Russia to stay out of the war.
All military machine units of the DPR are currently on full combat warning. News reports and videos have appeared with Russian armor, including "hundreds" of heavy combat vehicles, and 80,000 to 90,000 troops, moving toward the Ukrainian edge from the Bryansk, Voronezh and Rostov military districts. They are stationed at Novy Yerkovich—a four-hour (250 km) drive to Kyiv—and along the border nearly Kharkov, which lies a scant 30 kilometers from Russian federation's edge.
The troop buildup indicates that Russia is prepared to defend the Donbass region, which consists of virtually a million Russian citizens, and to potentially go further and liberate the part of Ukraine populated primarily by ethnic and Russian-speaking Russians.
The U.S./EU/NATO and Ukraine accept all been pretending since 2014 that "Russia invaded Ukraine"—which it never did, though Ukrainian provocations make information technology more likely that it presently volition.
The state of war in Ukraine is non a Ukrainian ceremonious state of war, nor is it a war between Russians and Ukrainians.
It is a war by resurgent international neo-Nazism, led past the United states of america confronting a people fighting for their autonomy backed by a reinvigorated Dandy Power, Russia, which wants to expand its regional influence and counteract a legitimate security threat on its border.
World Flash Signal
The fight in Donbass is one of the major globe's wink points alongside Syria and Taiwan—where U.S. provocations threaten a major state of war with Prc.
If the West forces a military confrontation with Russia in Ukraine, it tin be sure it will face up one with China over Taiwan simultaneously, neither of which it has any chance of winning. The Russians and Chinese have forged a partnership confronting Western, primarily U.South. aggression in the political, economical, and military spheres.
In Syria, the Turks (a NATO member) have in recent days directly threatened Russian military installations and troops; Should they actually carry out attacks on Russians in Syria, Russia has made articulate it will fire back. Turkish troops are now also on the footing in Ukraine, involved in combat operations confronting Donbass Defense Forces. This also, is a major and recent escalation.
Russia Prepares Its Saddle
Only it is in Donbass that the state of affairs is the nigh incendiary. In response to recent Ukrainian provocations and acts of terrorism, Russia is again sending a military task force to its edge with Ukraine, equally information technology did in the spring of this year, which stopped the planned U.S./Ukrainian offensive in its tracks.
After the offensive was scrubbed and the state of affairs de-escalated, the Russian troops withdrew from the edge, but at present over again take returned. This fourth dimension, indications are that the Russian formations are preparing to, at minimum, come up into Donbass as peacekeepers, and mayhap go every bit far equally Kharkov and Odessa as Liberators. Maybe even to Kyiv.
As the recent words of Putin, Lavrov, Medvedev and others have made clear, the Russians take now decided that the fourth dimension for talking is over. There is an old proverb nearly Russians that applies perfectly well to the current situation—"The Russians are wearisome to saddle their horses, but when they do, they ride very, very fast."
Those horses have now been saddled.
Responsibility to Protect (R2P)
If the Russians were to deepen their involvement in the Ukraine, they would non exist doing anything the U.S. and NATO have not done themselves on more than ane occasion.
Russia non merely has thecorrectto protect its citizens, information technology has the responsibility to exercise so, under international law.
The "R2P" or "Responsibility to Protect" concept is based on iii "pillars" –
Pillar I—Each private state has the responsibility to protect its population from genocide, war crimes, indigenous cleansing, and crimes against humanity.
Pillar II—"States pledge to assist each other in their protection responsibilities."
Colonnade Three—If any country is "patently failing" in its protection responsibilities, and so states should accept collective action to protect the population" in a "timely and decisive response."
The UN Security Council has recognized and reaffirmed its delivery to the R2P in more than lxxx resolutions. R2P as such has the force of international constabulary.
The flip side of R2P is that it has been used as an alibi by the most powerful countries for international war crimes and has resulted in the trampling of country sovereignty.
I of the requirements of R2P is a United nations Security Council resolution approving its implementation. Though this will never happen in the case of Ukraine, there can exist no dubiousness that Ukraine is, in fact, guilty of all the crimes that R2P was created to prevent, including a) war crimes, b) ethnic cleansing, and c) crimes against humanity, all of which accept been, and continue to be, committed by the Kyiv regime and its military on a daily footing.
Russian intervention as such could exist justified nether the R2P doctrine–though information technology is unlikely any NATO countries would admit this.
Who Will Stop the Crimes Against Humanity?
The list of Kyiv'south war crimes nether international law include: a) denial of water to almost two.5 million civilians in Crimea, b) the intentional targeting of civilians, journalists and medical personnel by artillery and snipers, c) random terror attacks on civilian areas, d) kidnapping, e) rape, f) torture and g) murder.
The Russians have over 2,000 specific war crimes cases open against the Kyiv government and its proxies, and more are being opened daily. Even the USA has opened war crimes investigations into at least seven U.S. citizens who fought on the Kyiv side in the war.
These investigations into kidnapping, torture, rape, and murder are based on bystander, and video and forensic evidence. It will exist the first time the U.South. has prosecuted anyone nether the War Crimes Deed since its passage into law in 1996, a quarter century ago.
The Ukrainian military has as of this writing massacred at least 10,000 indigenous Russian civilians. Some were killed in firm-to-firm searches of civilian homes past paramilitary units wearing Nazi insignia on their uniforms. The Gestapo-like forces were searching for DPR and Russian passports and kidnapped those who had them.
The Russians cannot but stand up by and allow this to happen. And neither should Americans.
Western intellectuals accept been quick to invoke R2P to support the bombing of Libya and Syrian arab republic and a host of other Middle E countries every bit a cover for U.S. aggression. But how many will invoke the same doctrine when it tin can be applied to actually relieve people from large-scale ethnic cleansing and crimes against humanity—if Russian federation is the one doing the saving? Probable none.
Part 2: Iii Options for Russia
The way I see it, Russia currently has three main options:
1) The Donbass Program—The Russian Army can gyre into Donbass as peacekeepers, along the electric current contact line from North of Lugansk to Mariupol, later on publicly announcing information technology to the globe a few hours ahead of fourth dimension, in lodge to warn the Ukrainian military confronting resistance, and to explain and justify its humanitarian intervention to the "international customs." They would announce that they come in peace to cease the war crimes and the war, but that any military resistance from any source volition be instantly eliminated, with the warning, "If you shoot at united states of america, you dice."
This ultimatum would be non-negotiable and backed up by Russia's total military machine ability, including air and missile forces, and applied not but to Ukrainian military units, but to U.Southward. and NATO troops in Ukraine and U.Southward. and NATO ships in the Blackness Sea, likewise as anywhere else. It can and should besides include a reminder of Putin'south previous quote that"Russia will respond to any set on by the destruction not just of the source of the attack, but also the source of the orders for the attack."
This option would stop all terrorist attacks against Donbass, permanently and completely, and would hopefully requite fourth dimension for a diplomatic solution based on new political realities to exist establish. It would also not entail the taking of any territory under Ukraine command, but that which has long been alleged under "Russian occupation".
Once it is seen that the Russians actuallyare coming, and they reallydo hateful business, information technology is unlikely that the Americans, NATO, or the Ukrainians will fire a shot. This is the least confrontational and least risky approach, as it could be achieved in a matter of 24 hours, with minimal bloodshed.
This may seem to be a pragmatic solution, but it has the least chance of finding a political compromise or permanent solution, in either the short or long terms. And while information technology would stop war crimes and protect Russian citizens, it would fail to resolve the overriding geopolitical problems Russian federation faces in Ukraine—belligerent state of war criminals on Russia's borders, the disquisitional Crimean water security upshot, foreign enemies in control of a neighboring state, etc. 1 reward to this plan, even so, is that could be used as a first stage of the Novorussia Plan.
2) The second choice is The Novorussia Plan. Nether this programme, the Russians tin liberate the area known as Novorussia, well-nigh one third of current Ukraine, with majority ethnic Russian populations, running along a line from Kharkov to Odessa (inclusive). This not only protects the vast bulk of ethnic Russians (not but those in Donbass) from Ukrainian depredations, it solves the disquisitional humanitarian water crisis in Crimea, and cuts Ukraine completely off from the Black Sea. This will also eviscerate all that is left of the Ukrainian economy and begin the process of the dismantling of Ukraine forth ethnic lines while eliminating it as a state and as a threat to Russian federation one time and for all.
It volition also serve equally an example to the world of the new political reality that Russia reserves the right to defend itself, unilaterally, if need be, and that the nation with the most powerful military in the world besides has the political will to utilise it, if information technology has no other choice and if it is forced to defend itself. This scenario has the all-time hope of long-term stability for the region, and even the possibility of a time to come re-integration of some parts of central Ukraine with Novorussia.
Unfortunately, the vast bulk of war criminals would probably escape to the West, at to the lowest degree for a while.
3) The third programme, the Kyiv Plan, would be to go to Kyiv, which may or may not involve engaging in a major war. In the best case scenario for Russia, the U.S. and NATO would desert Ukraine in the face of a real fight and get out them on their own. Even if Ukraine did not capitulate in the first few hours, any actual conflict could be finished in a few days, and the process of de-Nazification and war crime trials could begin. In an alternative scenario, the U.S. and NATO would launch air strikes and the state of war could devolve into a quagmire for Russia, with the risk of nuclear war intensifying.
My conventionalities is that the outcome of the open gainsay phase of the war would be along the lines of the First Iraq War, (with eighty% – 90% of Ukrainian soldiers surrendering without firing a shot) simply the subsequent "occupation" would actually be a real liberation. With the removal of neo-Nazis and decadent oligarchs from positions of power, and the improvement of life quality and life chances for a vast majority of the population, most Ukrainians (with the exception of the rabid fascists in Galicia or Poland) will see the Russian Ground forces as their grandparents saw the Red Ground forces, as heroes and liberators from foreign occupation—which is exactly what they would be.
This may be the to the lowest degree feasible and to the lowest degree bonny of the three scenarios, but it is an option, and it would have the required effect of stopping the war crimes confronting Russian citizens and eliminating Ukraine every bit an existential threat right on Russian federation's doorstep. It would also accept the do good of the capture a large percentage of war criminals (Ukrainian and otherwise) likewise as documents and bear witness that might be of great interest to history, Russian federation and the earth—an option worthy of serious consideration.
Of all three of these plans, the second, the Novorussia Plan has the virtually do good at the least cost. But going to the contact line in Donbass is not sufficient to resolve the festering Ukrainian trouble, and going all the way to Kyiv may well price more than than it is worth. The Novorussia Plan resolves all critical issues at an adequate cost, and can exist implemented, if need be, as a second phase of the Donbass Plan.
With the Voronezh troops coming in through (or around) Kharkov, Airborne and amphibious troops landing in (or effectually) Odessa, the Rostov Ground forces coming up through Donbass, and the Crimean Army and Black Body of water Fleet working along the coast, along with the Bryansk Ground forces waiting in reserve and fix to take Kyiv if required, the 700 Km Forepart, running from Kharkov to Odessa could be formed and held in a affair of days.
Once Russian fuel and human aid offset to flow to liberated Novorussia, grateful citizens volition not simply not oppose Russian "occupation," they volition back up it as 18-carat liberation, and fifty-fifty be ready to defend it themselves from the common cold and hungry Ukrainians who volition exist begging to exist allowed to emigrate to Novorussia.
Incorrigible Nazis and war criminals will be rounded upward, tried, and sentenced to work battalions in Donbass, to repair every single thing destroyed or damaged in the war, including the monument at Saur Mogila and all monuments to the Cerise Army Liberators in the newly liberated lands of Novorussia. The majority of Russian soldiers volition rapidly be complimentary to return to Russian federation, and leave the administration and protection of the newly liberated lands to their inhabitants.
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Russians visiting Saur Mogila memorial to red Regular army soldiers who liberated Donetsk from the Nazis in Earth War I. [Source: inthefray.org] -
Separatist flags fly over ruins. [Source: inthefray.org]
Vladimir Putin has more than in one case recounted a lesson that he learned as a youth on the tough streets of Leningrad."If the fight is inevitable, information technology is best to strike first."
If war indeed breaks out, the main responsibility would rest with the U.S. which triggered the current mess through its sponsorship of the February 2014 coup in Ukraine and gave a light-green-light for Ukraine to assail its Eastern provinces.
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About the Author
Russell Bentley is a erstwhile Texan who holds passports from Russia, the Us and the Donetsk People'due south Republic.
Russell came to Donbass in 2014 and served in the VOSTOK Battalion and XAH Spetsnaz Battalion through 2015.
He then transitioned into the Data War, as a writer and video reporter, countering Western propaganda well-nigh the situation in Ukraine and Donbass.
He currently works as an accredited war correspondent in the DPR, is married and lives in a pocket-sized firm with a large garden, five Km from the frontline in the ongoing Donbass War.
Russell can be reached at: russellbbentley@gmail.com.
Source: https://covertactionmagazine.com/2021/11/12/is-biden-looking-to-reignite-a-dirty-war-in-ukraine-recent-visit-by-u-s-defense-secretary-lloyd-austin-raises-concerns/
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